Controlled CivBench on Vox Populi 5.2.7, Civilization V

Matched MapsA controlled version of CivBench (Chen et al., 2026). Each LLM strategists rotate through 3 standard maps (8 players), each game features 2 of the same LLM strategists + 6 Vox Populi AI players. Experimented with 2 conditions: having LLMs make a decision every turn (base); having them make a decision every 5 turns, or when an important event comes up (per-5). baseline_experiment: vanilla-standard-fixed; estimator: attention; strength_table: strength Each cell averages every unique run for its seed, final player position, strategist, and condition; seating rotations and repeated runs contribute equally. The strength table's leading Avg column pools each row's runs. Click a numeric column heading to sort.

Compare strategists and experimental conditions with a VPAI baseline on the same maps and starting positions, so differences in performance can be assessed with the starting setup held constant.

Strategists exceed VPAI strength in 334/744 matched map-and-seat comparisons (44.9%); strength differences range from -0.495 to +0.425.

Click a cell to explore that starting position.

Seed 1

Game Log for seed 1 →

Strength

Adjusted strengthMean adjusted strength: red 0, yellow 0.5, blue 1. The Avg column pools every run in the row. Avg rank is the pooled mean in-game rank by weighted victory probability, blue for #1 and red for last.
Adjusted strength
Strategist | ConditionAvgAvg rank0: Arabia1: The Zulus2: China3: Brazil4: Polynesia5: Denmark6: Austria7: Ethiopia
VPAI0.50#4.5
Null | Every-turn0.28#5.8
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn0.38#4.7
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-50.37#5.2
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-50.58#3.6
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn0.46#4.6
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn0.47#4.6
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-50.44#4.7
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-50.57#3.7
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.44#4.5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-50.45#4.7
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.46#4.4
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-50.46#4.5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-50.48#4.6
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.47#4.7
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-50.49#4.1
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn0.51#4.1
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.45#4.6
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-50.48#4.1
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-50.46#4.6
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn0.46#5.1
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-50.40#4.9
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.37#5.2
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-50.38#5.2
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.47#4.4
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-50.47#4.6
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-50.42#5.1
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn0.43#4.8
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-50.42#4.9
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-50.50#4.1
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn0.41#5.3
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-50.43#4.6
VPAI | Every-turn0.47#4.5
  • 0
  • 0.25
  • 0.5
  • 0.75
  • 1

Focus

Dominant victory focusThe victory focus with the largest mean share across runs. Sorting uses that share.
Dominant victory focus
Strategist | Condition0: Arabia1: The Zulus2: China3: Brazil4: Polynesia5: Denmark6: Austria7: Ethiopia
VPAI
Null | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5
VPAI | Every-turn
  • Domination
  • Culture
  • Diplomatic
  • Science

Strategy

Average flavor settingEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average flavor. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 0 (red) through 50 (yellow) to 100 (blue). Nuke, UseNuke, Air, Antiair, AirCarrier, Airlift count only from the turn a player gains access.
Average flavor setting
Strategist | ConditionMilitaryNuclearNaval and airEconomyOther
OffDefCDefMobMTrnRecRngMoblNukeUNukNavNRecAirAACarrLiftExpGroTileInfrProdGoldSciCulHapNGroNTileWConGPWondRelDipEspSpc
Completed-experiment average38615849574452443326514240402829416663637570766871424145684647705441
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn16342926304223230043356212536757687964677787463553877051907418
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-527373839404433371414514320151017526456658064657079534450796147826424
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-530576042512056453022494150524649426260546257686862515250624848575151
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn60817775815478658428694958561720338379809487927986504358673653846740
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn4473666464485949339524141391017417271718782897481383846714649815436
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-544696358594959503218514546473839507068688478867478454548695457755444
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-555655855644762552015625353513437456367606972787371525253655562705544
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn41595551554858513839584954534950446762515862656365515151614856635651
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-544565450564656505250564956554949436660505760636061495050594952585549
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn59576353695256575740555051515050585250496159657364514952695157747852
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-556525451614652565052585346505050605449505853617358494750735052637152
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-543615944525250464543514737393636627162507759667562444445747257524734
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn26716855684265405428504058611324327470738973896080332940672632655651
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-534686655664364473021554650521516307670738774866578413646723839666144
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn37686556674467512015524345411516277668758976876081403547672538615947
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn46645856605154515855545153525050496257566559766467515150585055625352
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-551615858615056515455535152525050486157556557776563515150615056605353
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-534666549635460524336575153584849377273657371898479535354775264726249
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn36656139574550483215534541432021386968697182726878484448774747835730
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-537646242604455514441565049533840426666666876706576514950744850736140
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn29625948462636251314425121322254647596878715952151317492223654226
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-527636145482640271324525111122295554616979726358201621522926553726
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn25514831393334260033178600346561637972726259171622583336843119
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-521464628372836230033184511346560607869736357222023603634802829
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-51646462635203522199362223251518337063658170766061333342692837763642
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn59757079775761536663695870655754366567738079776474525351574855615350
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-561726672736058536955635363545349467068727573766770525349555152575153
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-515726533584159494038484561634748206161568654915571495050761947726379
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn3354554857553231003732201041457372748682858080293137817044794732
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-537505245575438382121433411666427375718179827678313335806949764929
  • 0 forbid
  • 30 enough
  • 50 balanced (in-game AI)
  • 70 prioritize
  • 100 emergency focus

Diplomacy

Average persona traitEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average trait value. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 1 (red) through 5.5 (yellow) to 10 (blue).
Average persona trait
Strategist | ConditionDiplomacyPersonality
BalFrdWithAgstLoyDenFgvMeanNeedChatDec
Matched in-game AI6.67.57.87.54.15.94.87.17.03.56.8
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn6.69.39.68.06.94.77.34.56.43.54.8
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-56.78.89.37.55.25.06.25.56.73.95.7
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-56.67.88.17.56.15.35.74.76.44.05.6
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn6.78.18.07.06.75.44.95.56.44.93.7
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn6.88.48.46.97.14.45.75.16.24.74.7
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-56.68.08.37.16.24.95.45.36.64.05.0
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-56.68.88.27.16.73.55.35.05.76.74.8
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn6.67.57.86.85.15.35.15.66.64.65.5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-56.67.57.77.44.75.85.15.86.73.76.0
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn6.68.18.78.05.56.74.96.36.94.95.9
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-56.67.28.07.75.36.94.87.26.84.06.5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-56.67.67.97.34.46.34.47.26.75.56.7
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn6.78.17.65.97.23.46.43.54.44.83.8
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-56.67.88.16.56.94.65.94.85.04.64.5
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn6.77.88.17.56.55.25.64.64.74.74.6
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn6.67.57.87.54.55.94.86.06.93.56.2
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-56.67.57.87.54.35.74.86.36.83.56.4
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-56.67.87.96.85.14.75.14.66.43.65.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn6.78.48.77.57.74.86.44.04.97.24.0
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-56.78.18.37.87.35.16.24.24.96.64.5
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn6.76.98.07.95.94.46.44.65.54.84.8
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-56.77.48.47.46.34.86.14.85.94.64.8
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn6.88.28.76.87.83.47.34.05.85.43.6
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-56.77.98.36.47.73.17.13.75.85.43.3
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-56.67.28.36.26.73.05.73.45.88.04.0
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn6.67.27.87.55.05.74.86.26.83.76.3
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-56.67.37.77.54.45.84.76.56.73.56.7
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-56.78.09.17.77.94.36.43.25.13.93.6
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn6.78.58.87.07.54.27.44.36.14.25.7
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-56.68.28.46.76.24.76.85.36.64.05.7
  • 1 lowest
  • 4
  • 5.5 middle
  • 7
  • 10 highest

Commitment

CommitmentEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's value over the game. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors show each cell as a z-score across strategists, full color at 2 SDs. Hover a column heading for its definition.
Commitment
Strategist | ConditionActs %Revises %TouchedStepNet %Persona
Completed-experiment average58516.29.1275.9
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn94414.713.91213.5
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-528605.613.9216.1
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-532415.96.5331.0
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn93794.75.2192.9
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn96384.38.0254.1
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-529534.67.6461.7
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-531763.08.8324.8
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn93132.88.5431.6
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-532293.68.1440.7
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn98102.911.1474.5
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-530203.111.0522.5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-530164.912.0713.4
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn96629.09.468.2
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5308010.69.1114.1
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn93527.510.5106.7
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn97124.84.8390.8
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-531415.04.1390.4
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-530686.44.2331.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn99606.16.41018.6
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-532727.86.41610.1
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn995510.17.2812.6
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5297512.27.6145.4
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn98676.48.61018.3
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-530879.68.81510.6
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5309414.05.01519.2
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn97132.319.1321.2
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-530362.616.1360.9
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-531807.15.4223.6
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn83356.713.5114.7
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-529457.112.5271.9
  • 2 SD below the average strategist
  • 1 SD below
  • average
  • 1 SD above
  • 2 SD above

Grand strategy

Main grand strategyThe grand strategy with the largest average share of turns for each strategist and seat, in its victory color at share intensity. Hover a cell for switches and the first pivot.
Main grand strategy
Strategist | Condition0: Arabia1: The Zulus2: China3: Brazil4: Polynesia5: Denmark6: Austria7: Ethiopia
NullSpaceship 47%Spaceship 54%Spaceship 56%Spaceship 41%United Nations 51%Conquest 50%Spaceship 53%Spaceship 64%
VanillaCulture 37%Conquest 70%Spaceship 55%Spaceship 74%United Nations 67%Conquest 78%United Nations 38%Spaceship 67%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turnUnited Nations 57%Conquest 52%Spaceship 54%United Nations 52%United Nations 48%Conquest 51%United Nations 53%United Nations 67%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5United Nations 50%Conquest 78%Spaceship 52%Culture 100%Conquest 64%Spaceship 43%United Nations 61%United Nations 59%
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Conquest 70%Culture 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%Spaceship 80%United Nations 100%Culture 100%
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 91%Conquest 100%Spaceship 59%Culture 80%Culture 100%Conquest 100%United Nations 64%Culture 100%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 100%Conquest 87%Spaceship 89%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 87%United Nations 98%Culture 100%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 50%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 67%United Nations 100%Culture 93%
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 88%Culture 100%Culture 67%Conquest 83%United Nations 100%Culture 100%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turnCulture 98%Conquest 96%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%Culture 50%Conquest 80%Culture 89%Culture 100%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Conquest 100%Spaceship 81%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 95%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turnCulture 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 50%Culture 100%United Nations 47%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 99%Culture 98%Culture 97%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 99%Conquest 80%Spaceship 90%Culture 69%Culture 59%Spaceship 56%United Nations 74%Culture 75%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 99%Conquest 100%Culture 50%Culture 100%Culture 77%Conquest 80%United Nations 100%Spaceship 74%
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 95%Conquest 93%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%United Nations 57%Conquest 91%United Nations 90%Spaceship 72%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 100%Conquest 88%Spaceship 87%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 67%United Nations 100%Culture 100%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 63%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 88%United Nations 100%Culture 100%
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5United Nations 50%Conquest 100%Spaceship 96%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 65%United Nations 100%Culture 100%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turnCulture 58%Conquest 77%United Nations 40%Culture 85%Culture 96%Conquest 69%United Nations 91%Spaceship 44%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 68%Conquest 100%Spaceship 72%Culture 100%Culture 74%Conquest 69%United Nations 100%Culture 54%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turnCulture 83%Conquest 100%Spaceship 70%Culture 72%Culture 54%Conquest 50%United Nations 72%Spaceship 71%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Conquest 100%Spaceship 55%Culture 93%Culture 100%Spaceship 50%United Nations 93%Culture 72%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turnCulture 100%Conquest 47%Culture 56%Spaceship 45%Culture 54%Conquest 54%United Nations 92%Spaceship 44%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 60%Conquest 42%Spaceship 76%Culture 56%Culture 75%Spaceship 46%United Nations 87%Culture 81%
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 95%Conquest 100%Spaceship 80%Culture 100%Culture 100%Conquest 33%United Nations 81%Culture 52%
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 80%Culture 100%Culture 79%Conquest 100%United Nations 100%Culture 98%
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 100%Culture 88%Culture 100%Conquest 70%Culture 50%Culture 100%
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 100%Conquest 52%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%Spaceship 100%Spaceship 75%Spaceship 77%Spaceship 100%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 75%Conquest 81%Culture 50%Culture 70%Culture 100%Conquest 51%Culture 99%Spaceship 64%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5Culture 77%Conquest 79%Culture 48%Spaceship 55%Culture 100%Conquest 74%United Nations 57%Culture 50%
  • Conquest
  • Culture
  • United Nations
  • Spaceship

Policies

Branch adoptionEach cell is the percent of players on this map (and seat) who adopted the branch. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat, the average first-adoption turn, and how often the branch was the first pick in its tier. Colors are fixed from 0% (red) through 50% (yellow) to 100% (blue).
Branch adoption
Strategist | ConditionAncientMedievalIndustrialIdeology
TradAuthProgFealStatArtIndImpRatFreeAutoOrd
Matched in-game AI75250391645142559272544
Null9410094816275505019252550
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn1001001009410094887588311256
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5100811001001008188449462556
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-556193825255631610061975
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn562569383869123869122550
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn50256244385625258131656
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-562258831446925198161956
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5442550501956193181191969
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn8825886938753825100192569
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-581388181257512389462569
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn6925125665001969251962
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5752525311962121956194450
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5883812625075943844192556
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn382581561956122569251269
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5252575694438254481192569
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn442588445062442581312550
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn3825885038383112100251956
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5382588562556253188191975
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-556252519255631198161956
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn7562946910094694481311256
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-58875941009488626275192575
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn1001001006994886262100123156
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-510094100699475626988123144
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn7550100629481564450191962
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-57550100698888445044191956
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-589509489508356336162861
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn813194567544755094313844
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5945081446975886294193156
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5191294624475386100191969
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn8144100698188441275253838
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-59444100759475443181121956
  • 0% never
  • 50%
  • 100% always

Seed 2

Game Log for seed 2 →

Strength

Adjusted strengthMean adjusted strength: red 0, yellow 0.5, blue 1. The Avg column pools every run in the row. Avg rank is the pooled mean in-game rank by weighted victory probability, blue for #1 and red for last.
Adjusted strength
Strategist | ConditionAvgAvg rank0: The Netherlands1: The Ottomans2: France3: Spain4: The Aztecs5: Brazil6: Arabia7: Poland
VPAI0.50#4.5
Null | Every-turn0.38#5.4
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn0.43#4.6
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-50.42#5.0
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-50.54#4.2
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn0.54#3.9
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn0.55#3.7
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-50.48#4.7
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-50.64#3.1
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.50#4.2
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-50.48#4.9
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.47#4.4
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-50.47#4.1
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-50.44#4.7
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.57#3.7
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-50.54#4.1
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn0.51#4.2
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.50#4.4
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-50.50#4.6
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-50.55#4.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn0.56#4.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-50.44#4.7
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.45#4.9
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-50.47#4.8
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.52#3.9
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-50.43#5.1
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-50.55#4.4
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn0.41#5.1
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-50.46#4.8
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-50.48#4.6
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn0.50#4.4
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-50.48#5.0
VPAI | Every-turn0.50#4.5
  • 0
  • 0.25
  • 0.5
  • 0.75
  • 1

Focus

Dominant victory focusThe victory focus with the largest mean share across runs. Sorting uses that share.
Dominant victory focus
Strategist | Condition0: The Netherlands1: The Ottomans2: France3: Spain4: The Aztecs5: Brazil6: Arabia7: Poland
VPAI
Null | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5
VPAI | Every-turn
  • Domination
  • Culture
  • Diplomatic
  • Science

Strategy

Average flavor settingEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average flavor. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 0 (red) through 50 (yellow) to 100 (blue). Nuke, UseNuke, Air, Antiair, AirCarrier, Airlift count only from the turn a player gains access.
Average flavor setting
Strategist | ConditionMilitaryNuclearNaval and airEconomyOther
OffDefCDefMobMTrnRecRngMoblNukeUNukNavNRecAirAACarrLiftExpGroTileInfrProdGoldSciCulHapNGroNTileWConGPWondRelDipEspSpc
Completed-experiment average40615950574552453627484041412729446764647570776670414044664448695344
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn24393634395027300047424104637060708372756983524155806452907329
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-528434143444737372149391810109576660667869686277514247755639826931
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-531596144491957432411474349514650426160536458676663515250614347555151
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn50726661724968595034604367541520358481819486927985484154693050846747
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn48686058604655484636504045482426477272728782897283404047684155795648
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-549666161605158536152534760574647526868678177846677464549654953715853
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-560635858654863585535625361584348536469616769757369515254625263685647
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn46585449534857494238565154535050446962515660646165525151604461645651
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-544575449574457504641544952545050466861505656655959515050574052605550
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn69707052745265583938565546494747505251526558677560525152695458717750
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-563635552665356553310544851525050565551516154607061485050655754667252
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-556626354675267556053394237423736596764517957726260414143605460514546
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn3067645063436043211042335052519327368738975885979272440682638685759
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-535676553654662494620534459581324387974768774886279424051703043696060
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn28686555634263474837403447421125267671758974895680302945672240555267
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn51635857605056515253535052515050536659576956795766515051575155585456
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-545605753575155515554525051555049496259566457756263515151605155575353
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-531656448585259523634545050555050487875707770908078515151764462716158
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn3364613452454645161484236311315417070706983737679424045795251825530
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-540626142574054492910504537433233456967666677677478484648745851705432
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn26555238382231191122412891127484956627770785410912643724684011
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-53761585050264633533421101222325455626778706559201720543227543520
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn24545032404234271634322131423416962638073736561211926603541873525
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5225755374430402351371891421366660607572725761201822522432813222
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-51542442631173115183281519261011336959617969716259262434673036753027
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn65777784805759578375615362724947385559687982785474515250504551535151
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-562696676755761548383615066585454466766697372756070515250525155585151
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-516767040624364491817494865664647256766608655915574505049761843716180
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn37606250636044411293522171075517171758684858483232435827356774314
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-534545846605740401613393311765527071708578846675353642766643664440
  • 0 forbid
  • 30 enough
  • 50 balanced (in-game AI)
  • 70 prioritize
  • 100 emergency focus

Diplomacy

Average persona traitEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average trait value. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 1 (red) through 5.5 (yellow) to 10 (blue).
Average persona trait
Strategist | ConditionDiplomacyPersonality
BalFrdWithAgstLoyDenFgvMeanNeedChatDec
Matched in-game AI7.06.96.46.06.56.93.46.18.13.56.4
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn7.58.48.67.57.55.06.94.48.03.84.9
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-57.07.88.56.47.05.26.54.58.03.95.1
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-57.07.26.45.97.45.15.33.67.63.54.5
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn7.27.26.65.18.24.75.83.87.14.43.2
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn7.17.47.05.77.84.65.94.06.34.74.1
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-57.07.26.75.97.54.85.34.16.73.94.8
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-57.07.36.76.57.83.25.54.45.66.04.1
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn7.27.06.86.06.65.84.15.17.84.75.3
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-57.06.96.46.17.05.84.15.37.93.85.8
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn7.06.97.37.76.67.43.86.07.35.05.8
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-57.06.97.07.06.67.53.16.18.03.95.8
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-57.07.07.36.46.66.23.75.97.35.15.6
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn7.17.86.94.57.92.97.23.14.65.33.3
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-57.07.56.85.77.43.95.84.05.44.83.9
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn7.17.16.95.17.64.36.13.35.55.23.7
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn7.07.16.46.06.86.53.74.88.13.55.7
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-57.07.06.46.07.16.13.74.87.93.55.3
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-57.07.26.65.76.94.84.44.27.53.65.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn7.18.58.67.08.14.56.73.44.77.33.9
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-57.07.98.16.17.94.76.73.75.16.24.2
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn7.17.57.66.27.24.66.13.66.35.23.6
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-57.07.27.16.97.74.95.53.96.64.34.4
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn7.18.18.66.78.23.86.83.96.75.93.2
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-57.07.48.36.28.34.06.13.96.65.23.3
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-57.07.57.65.47.42.85.42.96.17.84.3
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn7.06.86.46.07.15.83.65.47.73.95.8
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-57.06.46.66.36.96.63.65.67.83.66.1
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-57.08.18.66.88.35.15.23.46.93.84.2
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn7.18.57.86.48.43.97.53.56.74.34.2
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-57.07.87.45.97.84.46.73.67.54.15.0
  • 1 lowest
  • 4
  • 5.5 middle
  • 7
  • 10 highest

Commitment

CommitmentEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's value over the game. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors show each cell as a z-score across strategists, full color at 2 SDs. Hover a column heading for its definition.
Commitment
Strategist | ConditionActs %Revises %TouchedStepNet %Persona
Completed-experiment average58536.39.1256.6
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn92424.814.31315.1
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-530585.614.3206.8
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-530466.06.6291.4
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn92825.05.3174.4
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn98384.07.7254.1
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-529564.78.0391.9
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-531813.38.3286.0
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn94142.88.4432.5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-532294.07.7431.4
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn93143.110.7435.7
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-531243.110.2502.7
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-530195.011.5624.4
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn99639.19.3710.1
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5328210.89.0125.0
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn93497.310.8117.0
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn100144.94.6290.8
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-531426.14.4310.9
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-529666.74.1331.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn97636.26.41019.6
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-531778.16.21811.6
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn96599.87.3813.4
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5297812.47.7156.9
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn96695.98.31017.4
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5309110.58.61412.9
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5339414.35.41421.6
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn96172.318.8291.0
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-528432.616.6300.9
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-531827.65.3223.7
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn80366.714.3155.1
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-527477.513.0252.4
  • 2 SD below the average strategist
  • 1 SD below
  • average
  • 1 SD above
  • 2 SD above

Grand strategy

Main grand strategyThe grand strategy with the largest average share of turns for each strategist and seat, in its victory color at share intensity. Hover a cell for switches and the first pivot.
Main grand strategy
Strategist | Condition0: The Netherlands1: The Ottomans2: France3: Spain4: The Aztecs5: Brazil6: Arabia7: Poland
NullCulture 40%United Nations 41%Conquest 64%Conquest 85%Conquest 69%United Nations 75%Culture 64%United Nations 39%
VanillaUnited Nations 34%Spaceship 82%Conquest 79%Conquest 94%Conquest 83%United Nations 79%Spaceship 45%Spaceship 68%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turnCulture 58%United Nations 56%United Nations 58%Conquest 56%United Nations 57%Culture 45%Spaceship 61%Spaceship 48%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5United Nations 98%Conquest 49%United Nations 40%United Nations 49%Conquest 62%Culture 51%Spaceship 50%Spaceship 58%
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Spaceship 99%Conquest 40%Spaceship 94%Spaceship 51%Culture 100%Culture 50%Culture 100%
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turnUnited Nations 100%Spaceship 44%Conquest 52%Culture 50%Conquest 69%Culture 100%Spaceship 98%Culture 52%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 100%Conquest 70%Conquest 55%Spaceship 83%Conquest 51%Culture 100%Spaceship 99%Culture 50%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5United Nations 50%Conquest 50%Conquest 70%Spaceship 100%Conquest 68%Culture 93%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5United Nations 49%Spaceship 68%Conquest 62%Culture 37%Conquest 84%Culture 100%Spaceship 68%United Nations 60%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turnCulture 62%Spaceship 86%Culture 100%Conquest 76%Conquest 59%Culture 99%Culture 100%United Nations 100%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 93%Spaceship 96%Conquest 50%Conquest 65%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%United Nations 98%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turnCulture 100%Spaceship 100%Conquest 50%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Spaceship 100%Conquest 50%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Culture 100%Culture 50%
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Conquest 50%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%United Nations 53%Culture 100%Culture 100%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turnUnited Nations 51%Spaceship 84%Spaceship 63%Spaceship 82%Conquest 67%Culture 100%Spaceship 49%Spaceship 61%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5United Nations 70%Spaceship 91%Spaceship 48%Spaceship 47%Conquest 57%Culture 83%Spaceship 73%United Nations 83%
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 93%Spaceship 84%Spaceship 50%Spaceship 91%Spaceship 57%Culture 86%Spaceship 99%Spaceship 97%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turnUnited Nations 50%Spaceship 100%Spaceship 53%Spaceship 99%Conquest 100%Culture 89%Spaceship 100%Culture 50%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Spaceship 100%Conquest 68%Culture 46%Conquest 58%Culture 89%Culture 92%Culture 50%
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Spaceship 94%Conquest 57%United Nations 49%Conquest 60%Culture 100%Spaceship 98%Culture 53%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turnCulture 77%United Nations 53%Conquest 45%Culture 77%Conquest 63%Culture 47%Culture 50%Culture 67%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5Culture 50%Culture 99%Conquest 100%Conquest 83%Conquest 57%Culture 79%Culture 100%Culture 99%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turnCulture 100%Culture 97%Culture 53%United Nations 47%Conquest 69%Culture 56%Culture 100%Culture 70%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5Culture 84%Spaceship 59%Conquest 75%Conquest 62%Conquest 70%Culture 89%Culture 59%Culture 97%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turnUnited Nations 44%Culture 83%Spaceship 41%Culture 49%United Nations 63%Culture 50%Spaceship 67%Culture 54%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5United Nations 92%Spaceship 46%Culture 57%Spaceship 59%Conquest 52%Culture 58%Spaceship 86%Culture 50%
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Spaceship 56%Culture 62%Culture 38%Conquest 68%Culture 100%Spaceship 93%Culture 78%
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turnCulture 50%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Culture 84%Conquest 100%Culture 75%Spaceship 100%Spaceship 100%
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Conquest 50%Conquest 100%Culture 100%Spaceship 98%Spaceship 57%
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 92%Spaceship 100%Culture 50%Spaceship 100%Spaceship 80%Culture 50%Spaceship 100%Spaceship 100%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turnCulture 68%Culture 94%Conquest 33%Culture 31%Conquest 92%Culture 100%Culture 52%Culture 100%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 99%Spaceship 74%Spaceship 56%Culture 36%Conquest 66%Culture 69%Culture 100%Spaceship 100%
  • Conquest
  • Culture
  • United Nations
  • Spaceship

Policies

Branch adoptionEach cell is the percent of players on this map (and seat) who adopted the branch. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat, the average first-adoption turn, and how often the branch was the first pick in its tier. Colors are fixed from 0% (red) through 50% (yellow) to 100% (blue).
Branch adoption
Strategist | ConditionAncientMedievalIndustrialIdeology
TradAuthProgFealStatArtIndImpRatFreeAutoOrd
Matched in-game AI5038125916288255630942
Null9494100385062625656191244
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn100949494100100755675121225
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-594100100100100100946288193844
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5561925251969250100121938
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn442581445050123188121950
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn504475383162191294122544
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5693875563862251981121938
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5312581624444253169122550
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn81316975386244198864444
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5694475883869312594191256
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn753831441269121250123144
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5752531381950121262122544
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-594882562550625650123838
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn1925695050313838100252544
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-51919813838565068863856
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn5025886950751931100192544
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn622575811219191994192556
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-550257556255012694253144
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-53125561931561968801956
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn948188819494757588121956
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-56250100819494814462251938
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn9481100819494563888124438
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-594100100758881505081122544
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn1003810062888169258164456
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-56275100818169563844123138
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-575759494757550196903862
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn755694384438816294311944
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5885088505650756988251944
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5501210038448112094312538
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn695694888175312588252531
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-58844100758181442581251256
  • 0% never
  • 50%
  • 100% always

Seed 3

Game Log for seed 3 →

Strength

Adjusted strengthMean adjusted strength: red 0, yellow 0.5, blue 1. The Avg column pools every run in the row. Avg rank is the pooled mean in-game rank by weighted victory probability, blue for #1 and red for last.
Adjusted strength
Strategist | ConditionAvgAvg rank0: France1: The Zulus2: China3: Egypt4: Mongolia5: Austria6: Morocco7: Songhai
VPAI0.50#4.5
Null | Every-turn0.34#5.5
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn0.43#4.2
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-50.36#5.2
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-50.48#4.2
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn0.34#5.4
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn0.47#4.3
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-50.46#4.7
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-50.47#4.6
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.39#5.1
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-50.39#4.9
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.41#4.9
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-50.39#4.9
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-50.44#4.6
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn0.53#4.1
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-50.45#4.9
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn0.44#4.6
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn0.38#5.1
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-50.37#5.1
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-50.43#5.2
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn0.43#5.4
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-50.41#4.4
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.39#5.3
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-50.36#5.8
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn0.46#4.7
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-50.40#4.9
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-50.40#4.8
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn0.31#5.5
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-50.44#4.5
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-50.50#4.6
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn0.41#4.8
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-50.34#5.9
VPAI | Every-turn0.48#4.4
  • 0
  • 0.25
  • 0.5
  • 0.75
  • 1

Focus

Dominant victory focusThe victory focus with the largest mean share across runs. Sorting uses that share.
Dominant victory focus
Strategist | Condition0: France1: The Zulus2: China3: Egypt4: Mongolia5: Austria6: Morocco7: Songhai
VPAI
Null | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5
VPAI | Every-turn
  • Domination
  • Culture
  • Diplomatic
  • Science

Strategy

Average flavor settingEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average flavor. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 0 (red) through 50 (yellow) to 100 (blue). Nuke, UseNuke, Air, Antiair, AirCarrier, Airlift count only from the turn a player gains access.
Average flavor setting
Strategist | ConditionMilitaryNuclearNaval and airEconomyOther
OffDefCDefMobMTrnRecRngMoblNukeUNukNavNRecAirAACarrLiftExpGroTileInfrProdGoldSciCulHapNGroNTileWConGPWondRelDipEspSpc
Completed-experiment average46626056634557513528483940412527426462647671746171393741614142655238
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn2641393845462734514740111135556858728370716983524149836340887631
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5323734454647313730474115467606959668166676081493847725133786127
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-540586046512159482811514351534747456058526557666263485049583938555049
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn678076808551827257385259812307570779485896684373247522539796034
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn50716465685062564313513942491620457073718683877481363543644151754931
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-550656064645160544228514348473030446465678376826577414145634947685444
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-563676160684466605651644852522036456169636972757272474852605159685436
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn45565450554958546465565055535051466660515764666066504951584657615551
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-547545449564556535045534953505050486660495659635761485051574354565350
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn67636354775158673737515042505047565049506761716765504953645052667050
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-567585553734955624834505149494848604950506055626560504951624246657051
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-557575762675665585549414040433939556061577853675357384041624345464336
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn4169665873436955332942314344519277168728975875380252134612332635546
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-54370676272486956482550414652618297472748873865879393646663037586153
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn3968656071416952271539323233918247167738875835477282637582431555140
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn54645962654956534745545152524749486458577059765668505051565353595253
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-553605558615156525454545151545050466157566756745465515051544952565355
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-540666553655165573525535153594346407273697671887878505151715262685850
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn51616053674359614433494251482627436765717484695981423843683642695823
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-550606050644460575238544752544343426565677078696777494849705246655736
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn5065636665265643291843222427122847476578816347609109382418484211
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-545626054572949401573721162122295053647180695856141315472621493822
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn255855364433392780321481200336155577873665855141320502928853117
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-52961624451324831135341592111316156577874665859151416542733793013
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-520484933352240254822241623261920356860637772646063232432632436762819
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn70736884815867639290655164595150396263738083765474505150514750565251
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-564726578796061607674585069565251496665707276745972505050545353575251
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-521756939633866472323484268704345236262608855905475474849752146716174
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn46616257686349443041312110107467169708683827682282725756035724020
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5466162616861484500423510211506870708579786674302941695332633928
  • 0 forbid
  • 30 enough
  • 50 balanced (in-game AI)
  • 70 prioritize
  • 100 emergency focus

Diplomacy

Average persona traitEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's turn-weighted average trait value. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors are fixed from 1 (red) through 5.5 (yellow) to 10 (blue).
Average persona trait
Strategist | ConditionDiplomacyPersonality
BalFrdWithAgstLoyDenFgvMeanNeedChatDec
Matched in-game AI6.25.25.46.64.87.13.67.26.64.16.5
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn7.08.18.87.56.65.57.44.76.54.45.4
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-56.37.48.66.65.85.35.65.36.64.35.7
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-56.36.05.96.65.36.04.84.96.14.46.1
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn6.46.67.06.07.55.95.55.15.85.53.5
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn6.36.76.56.36.14.95.35.25.65.44.5
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-56.36.56.46.36.35.54.95.15.64.95.5
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-56.36.46.56.56.64.24.85.15.66.34.7
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn6.35.65.66.44.85.64.35.76.44.86.1
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-56.35.85.46.64.96.64.35.86.44.66.1
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn6.36.17.48.35.77.83.86.76.14.95.8
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-56.35.86.67.35.57.43.86.56.14.95.9
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-56.35.65.66.55.07.03.37.06.44.45.7
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn6.47.07.15.97.04.15.74.25.05.44.0
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-56.36.66.46.56.35.15.55.05.35.04.3
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn6.36.66.95.96.14.35.64.64.65.74.2
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn6.35.55.66.64.96.93.86.16.64.16.3
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-56.35.35.36.74.76.93.76.36.64.16.5
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-56.36.25.96.65.45.34.35.36.64.15.5
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn6.37.48.07.67.85.75.05.04.76.54.4
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-56.57.17.57.86.95.65.44.74.75.94.6
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn6.35.97.17.86.06.25.15.75.24.75.2
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-56.35.86.57.95.35.44.95.25.64.44.9
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn6.57.58.26.57.73.87.03.76.05.94.0
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-56.37.17.97.47.74.16.24.06.15.93.9
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-56.46.37.56.66.23.36.13.36.37.74.0
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn6.35.85.77.15.06.64.06.46.64.66.4
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-56.25.85.56.64.97.04.16.46.64.16.5
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-56.37.48.66.97.95.05.33.85.64.44.2
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn6.37.48.26.48.04.17.04.56.55.34.9
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-56.36.86.76.66.85.56.64.46.44.35.5
  • 1 lowest
  • 4
  • 5.5 middle
  • 7
  • 10 highest

Commitment

CommitmentEach cell is the mean, over players on this map (and seat), of the player's value over the game. The top row is the completed-experiment average on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat. Colors show each cell as a z-score across strategists, full color at 2 SDs. Hover a column heading for its definition.
Commitment
Strategist | ConditionActs %Revises %TouchedStepNet %Persona
Completed-experiment average58536.59.2256.7
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn96454.913.81017.0
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-529615.813.9217.4
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-532486.06.2291.5
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn91804.95.6195.1
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn95414.27.8244.4
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-528595.48.4352.5
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-530813.39.2296.1
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn93132.88.5471.4
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-531283.77.6500.9
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn91113.011.3454.7
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-531243.710.9503.4
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-529156.011.7633.1
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn99649.09.4611.2
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5318210.29.1135.1
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn94527.810.798.0
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn99134.95.0390.8
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-531455.74.5290.8
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-528676.64.1351.1
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn93606.46.3916.1
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-534747.86.2159.1
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn965910.47.3714.2
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5307912.57.5135.9
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn97706.38.7920.0
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5309511.18.71214.2
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5319414.45.51421.0
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn93152.318.9311.0
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-531422.415.7331.0
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-532857.65.7193.1
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn90366.613.4115.3
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-527517.813.6182.9
  • 2 SD below the average strategist
  • 1 SD below
  • average
  • 1 SD above
  • 2 SD above

Grand strategy

Main grand strategyThe grand strategy with the largest average share of turns for each strategist and seat, in its victory color at share intensity. Hover a cell for switches and the first pivot.
Main grand strategy
Strategist | Condition0: France1: The Zulus2: China3: Egypt4: Mongolia5: Austria6: Morocco7: Songhai
NullSpaceship 50%Conquest 64%Culture 39%Spaceship 50%Spaceship 55%United Nations 58%Spaceship 45%Spaceship 48%
VanillaConquest 49%Conquest 77%Spaceship 85%Culture 81%Conquest 60%United Nations 88%United Nations 37%Conquest 57%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turnConquest 57%Conquest 53%United Nations 50%United Nations 54%Conquest 76%United Nations 84%United Nations 57%Conquest 56%
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-5Conquest 71%Spaceship 41%Spaceship 100%Culture 76%Conquest 65%United Nations 72%United Nations 85%Conquest 53%
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 59%Conquest 100%Culture 70%Culture 97%Conquest 52%United Nations 100%Culture 100%Conquest 57%
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turnConquest 87%Conquest 98%Spaceship 51%Culture 58%Conquest 83%United Nations 100%Culture 50%Conquest 100%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turnCulture 50%Conquest 91%Spaceship 68%Culture 98%Conquest 76%United Nations 72%Spaceship 50%Conquest 97%
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-5Culture 47%Conquest 82%Spaceship 54%Culture 84%Conquest 55%United Nations 100%Culture 50%Conquest 96%
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5Conquest 100%Conquest 100%Spaceship 47%Culture 80%Conquest 58%United Nations 96%Culture 100%Conquest 100%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turnCulture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 50%Culture 81%Conquest 75%United Nations 100%Culture 96%Conquest 77%
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 61%Culture 100%Conquest 100%United Nations 100%Culture 87%Conquest 100%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turnCulture 89%Conquest 100%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 50%Culture 100%Conquest 100%
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Conquest 50%Culture 100%Conquest 50%Culture 50%Culture 100%Conquest 100%
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-5Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 50%Culture 100%Conquest 100%United Nations 78%Culture 100%Conquest 100%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 46%Conquest 94%Culture 69%Spaceship 56%Spaceship 60%United Nations 90%Spaceship 88%Conquest 95%
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 58%Conquest 100%Spaceship 62%Culture 80%Conquest 58%United Nations 75%Spaceship 55%Conquest 67%
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 39%Conquest 96%Spaceship 78%Culture 100%Spaceship 52%United Nations 90%United Nations 47%Conquest 63%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turnSpaceship 55%Conquest 100%Spaceship 87%Culture 82%Conquest 71%United Nations 100%Spaceship 59%Conquest 100%
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5Conquest 38%Conquest 100%Spaceship 99%Spaceship 66%Conquest 77%United Nations 100%Spaceship 100%Conquest 100%
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5Culture 90%Conquest 100%Culture 64%Culture 80%Conquest 95%United Nations 100%Culture 100%Spaceship 69%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turnConquest 100%Conquest 81%Culture 96%Culture 64%Conquest 76%United Nations 100%United Nations 71%Conquest 98%
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5Conquest 60%Conquest 100%Spaceship 37%Culture 92%Conquest 98%United Nations 100%Culture 100%Conquest 83%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turnConquest 96%Conquest 100%Spaceship 42%Culture 82%Conquest 95%Culture 82%Culture 63%Conquest 91%
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-5Conquest 39%Conquest 100%Spaceship 62%Culture 82%Conquest 89%Culture 54%Culture 65%Conquest 60%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turnConquest 43%Culture 68%Culture 47%Spaceship 54%Culture 36%United Nations 83%Culture 68%Spaceship 49%
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5Culture 46%Culture 63%Culture 39%Spaceship 52%Conquest 57%United Nations 77%United Nations 56%Conquest 52%
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5Culture 68%Conquest 96%Culture 67%Culture 91%Conquest 78%United Nations 50%Culture 88%Conquest 44%
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turnConquest 57%Conquest 100%Spaceship 63%Culture 84%Conquest 100%United Nations 59%Spaceship 71%Conquest 89%
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-5Conquest 62%Conquest 100%Spaceship 100%Culture 100%Conquest 100%Culture 50%Culture 50%Conquest 100%
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-5Spaceship 99%Conquest 59%Spaceship 89%Culture 50%Conquest 68%United Nations 50%Spaceship 98%Spaceship 90%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turnCulture 53%Conquest 100%Culture 53%Culture 99%Conquest 83%United Nations 55%United Nations 50%Conquest 39%
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-5Conquest 61%Conquest 82%Spaceship 66%Culture 92%Conquest 44%United Nations 67%Culture 51%Conquest 62%
  • Conquest
  • Culture
  • United Nations
  • Spaceship

Policies

Branch adoptionEach cell is the percent of players on this map (and seat) who adopted the branch. The top row is the matched in-game AI on the same map (and seat); the tooltip shows each cell's difference from it, matched seat by seat, the average first-adoption turn, and how often the branch was the first pick in its tier. Colors are fixed from 0% (red) through 50% (yellow) to 100% (blue).
Branch adoption
Strategist | ConditionAncientMedievalIndustrialIdeology
TradAuthProgFealStatArtIndImpRatFreeAutoOrd
Matched in-game AI50500501634124738361736
Null94949475567550383138650
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Every-turn1001009494100100949494311231
GPT-OSS-120B-Simple | Per-594100100811008169566919038
Opus-5.5-Simple | Per-544501212443819681192531
GLM-5.1-Simple | Every-turn50506244443164456121238
GLM-5.2-Simple | Every-turn44446956256219318112644
GLM-5.2-Simple | Per-550508825315025317531625
GLM-5.3-Simple | Per-5255062502544125062251950
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Every-turn623888751950121969252512
GLM-5.3-Flash-Simple | Per-5693869753150193175191950
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Every-turn6238124465012383802531
MiniMax-M2.7-Simple | Per-569560443156191962191931
MiniMax-M3-Simple | Per-588691225316262382512644
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Every-turn255050563844255675381262
Kimi-K2.7-Simple | Per-5315062562538313869251244
Kimi-K2.6-Simple | Every-turn255081314450194488191250
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Every-turn56506950252512256925644
DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Simple | Per-5624481691938251981121944
DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash-Simple | Per-5444419311950192581193125
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Every-turn88811006210081506950123831
Qwen-3.5-Simple | Per-5816294508181624469191262
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Every-turn94100100819456567562192538
Qwen-3.6-27B-Simple | Per-594100100698875696981192538
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Every-turn8181100569475696269312556
Qwen-3.8-27B-Simple | Per-5947594568862696256313825
Qwen-3.8-Flash-Next-Simple | Per-5895683613367173328222233
Gemma-4-Simple | Every-turn816994316238629494191938
Gemma-4-Simple | Per-569758838623875698162544
GPT-6-Luna-Simple | Per-53125815069621912100193838
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Every-turn8856100628169443875191238
Nemotron-3-Super-Simple | Per-594758862757544446201256
  • 0% never
  • 50%
  • 100% always

Source tables